Xyoo-nyob rau-Xyoo thiab hli-nyob rau-Lub hli Ua tau zoo
Thaum Lub Xya Hli 2026, tus nqi ntawm lub cev qhuav dej ntawm cov qej flakes tau pom ib xyoo - ntawm - xyoo poob nrog rau ib hlis me ntsis - ntawm - hli nce. Thaum lub Xya Hli lig, tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm cov qij ntxuav cov qij flakes yog kwv yees li 13,535 yuan / ton- nqis 17.73% xyoo-rau- xyoo tab sis nce 1.91% lub hli- ntawm - hli- nrog cov nqi qis tam sim no. Piv rau tib lub sijhawm xyoo 2024 (thaum tus nqi nruab nrab txhua xyoo rau cov qij qej flakes yog 18,655 yuan / ton), cov nqi hauv 2026 tau poob qis heev.
Nqe Correlation Patterns
Lub cev qhuav dej qej cov nqi muaj feem cuam tshuam nrog tus nqi ntawm cov qej tshiab raw cov ntaub ntawv. Nyob nruab nrab ntawm 2018 thiab 2024, qhov sib txheeb coefficient mus txog 0.85, tus cwj pwm los ntawm "kev hloov pauv hauv tib qho kev taw qhia nrog kev nthuav dav": thaum cov khoom siv raw khoom tau nce, qhov nce ntawm cov khoom tiav cov nqi tau nthuav dav; conversely, thaum raw khoom nqi poob, qhov poob ntawm cov khoom tiav cov nqi kuj tob. Thaum Lub Ib Hlis thiab Lub Ob Hlis 2025, tau tsav los ntawm kev nce nqi qej tshiab, tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm lub cev qhuav dej qej flakes ntaus 20,257 yuan / tuj, ua rau lub voj voog siab rau xyoo tas los no.
Outlook
Lub yim hli ntuj yog lub caij nyoog tawm - lub caij xav tau, nrog rau kev yuav khoom qis qis qis zuj zus. Yog li ntawd, lub cev qhuav dej ntawm qej cov nqi yuav pom me ntsis rub rov qab; kev lag luam kev kwv yees tso qhov nruab nrab txhua hli tus nqi rau ntxuav hybrid qej flakes nyob rau lub Yim Hli ntawm kwv yees li 13,250 yuan / ton, ib hlis - ntawm - hli poob li ntawm 2.16%.
Cov nqe lus lag luam tam sim no sib txawv ntawm ntau yam sib txawv ntawm lub cev qhuav dej: tus nqi siv yog nyob ib ncig ntawm 420 yuan rau ntshav- tawv nqaij qhuav qej thiab kwv yees li 23 yuan rau cov qij qis qis, thaum lub tshuab nqus tsev - cov khoom ntim tuaj yeem ncav cuag 14,100 yuan. Cov neeg yuav khoom tuaj yeem xaiv cov khoom raws li lawv cov kev xav tau tshwj xeeb.
